NBC Renew/Cancel Week 10: Abby’s Is No Cheers

I had a bit of fun last week with the NBC Renew/Cancel, rolling out a joke April Fools edition instead of a realistic version. But now it's time to get serious, and I will be providing an initial prediction for new comedy Abby's, in addition to updates on previously-airing series.

Certain Cancellation:
AP Bio
I Feel Bad

Likely Cancellation: 
Abby's
Blindspot
The Village

Leans Cancellation:
The Enemy Within
Good Girls

Leans Renewal: 
N/A

Likely Renewal:
Manifest

Certain Renewal:
Saturday Night Live
This Is Us

Already Renewed:
Will & Grace
The Good Place
New Amsterdam
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD

Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Superstore
The Blacklist
Law & Order: SVU

Already Canceled/Final Season:
Midnight, Texas

Abby's: Nobody expected this show to do well ahead of its premiere, considering that it was being stuck at the tail-end of a low-rated comedy block and received little attention from its network. However, Abby's can't even brag about having strong retention, losing two tenths from its Will & Grace lead-in in both weeks that it aired. That's not too horrible, and it's actually better than undeniable bomb AP Bio's retention from Superstore, but it's not enough to give it a legitimate case for renewal. A 0.5 is a 0.5 at the end of the day, and it isn't acceptable for a show that's just two episodes into its run. NBC recently made a habit of renewing at least one midseason comedy each season, no matter how low the ratings are, but with a regime change this time around, I doubt this practice will continue. This show will join Champions and I Feel Bad in the garbage heap as one of the few recent one-and-done NBC comedies, and it will start as a LIKELY CANCELLATION.

Law & Order: SVU: NBC's longest-running drama was renewed for season 21 this since our last update, a renewal that will make it the sole owner of the title for longest-running drama ever. I've had the series marked as a certain renewal all season, but I can rest easy now knowing that SVU is safe from being this year's shock cancellation.

What do you think of my predictions? Is there anything you disagree with? Let me know in the comments below!